原標(biāo)題：美國(guó)天然氣價(jià)格升至自去年12月來(lái)的高點(diǎn)
中國(guó)石化新聞網(wǎng)訊 據(jù)天然氣加工新聞網(wǎng)8月5日?qǐng)?bào)道，隨著液化天然氣價(jià)格攀升，美國(guó)天然氣期貨價(jià)格升至自去年12月以來(lái)的最高水平，而預(yù)計(jì)8月底美國(guó)的氣溫仍將高于正常水平。
交易員們注意到，由于美國(guó)庫(kù)存達(dá)到最高水平，價(jià)格將下降的任何揮之不去的擔(dān)憂已經(jīng)消失，因?yàn)樽?月底以來(lái)，發(fā)電機(jī)已經(jīng)燃燒了創(chuàng)紀(jì)錄的天然氣，以保持空調(diào)的運(yùn)作而且液化天然氣公司再次增加出口。然而，分析師仍預(yù)計(jì)，到10月底，庫(kù)存將達(dá)到創(chuàng)紀(jì)錄的4.1萬(wàn)億立方英尺。
上周六美國(guó)東部時(shí)間上午8:15(格林尼治標(biāo)準(zhǔn)時(shí)間12:15)，即月天然氣期貨上漲3.7美分，漲幅1.7%，至每百萬(wàn)英國(guó)熱單位2.23美元，使該合約走向自去年12月26日以來(lái)的最高收盤價(jià)。
這是自2019年11月以來(lái)，首次連續(xù)連續(xù)第三天使即月期貨保持在超買區(qū)間，相對(duì)強(qiáng)勢(shì)指數(shù)(Rsi)超過(guò)70。
周一晚上襲擊北卡羅萊納州的伊薩亞斯(Isaias)颶風(fēng)短暫打破了自6月底以來(lái)席卷全國(guó)大部分地區(qū)的熱浪。這場(chǎng)颶風(fēng)使從北卡羅來(lái)納州到緬因州的超過(guò)300萬(wàn)戶家庭和企業(yè)斷電。
但是隨著炎熱天氣的到來(lái)，數(shù)據(jù)提供商Refinitiv預(yù)計(jì)，包括出口在內(nèi)的美國(guó)需求將從本周的日均886億立方英尺上升至下周的910億立方英尺。由于天然氣價(jià)格上漲導(dǎo)致發(fā)電機(jī)燃燒更多的煤炭而不是天然氣，因此這略低于Refinitiv周二的預(yù)期。
美國(guó)液化天然氣出口有望在6個(gè)月內(nèi)首次上升，因?yàn)?月份流向這些工廠的管道天然氣數(shù)量從7月份33億立方英尺/天的21個(gè)月低點(diǎn)上升到40億立方英尺/天，當(dāng)時(shí)買家取消了幾十批貨物。
原文如下:
U.S. natgas rise to highest since Dec on rising LNG exports, hot weather
U.S. natural gas futures rose to their highest since December as LNG climbed while the weather was expected to remain hotter-than-normal through late August.
Traders noted any lingering concerns that prices would fall as U.S. stockpiles fill to maximum levels have gone away now that power generators have burned record amounts of gas to keep air conditioners humming since late June and as LNG companies boost their exports again. Analysts, however, still expect inventories to reach a record 4.1 trillion cubic feet by the end of October.
Front-month gas futures rose 3.7 cents, or 1.7%, to $2.230 per million British thermal unit sat 8:15 a.m. EDT (1215 GMT), putting the contract on track for its highest close since Dec. 26.
That kept the front-month in overbought territory with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) over 70 for a third day in a row for the first time since November 2019.
Hurricane Isaias, which hit North Carolina Monday night, briefly broke the heat wave that has blanketed much of the country since late June. The storm knocked out power to more than three million homes and businesses from North Carolina to Maine.
But with hot weather expected to return, data provider Refinitiv projected U.S. demand, including exports, will rise from an average of 88.6 bcfd this week to 91.0 bcfd next week. That is a little lower than Refinitiv's outlook on Tuesday as higher gas prices cause power generators to burn more coal instead of gas.
U.S. LNG exports are on track to rise for the first time in six months as the amount of pipeline gas flowing to the plants rose to 4.0 bcfd in August from a 21-month low of 3.3 bcfd in July when buyers canceled dozens of cargoes.
